Sarin Technologies: Affected by non-systematic factors
I have been alerted to Sarin, as Brandon is a shareholder in it. And for the long time. It has fallen since the 60cts region to a low 46.5 cts today.
Normally. this presents an opportunity. I’m not sure if its due to systematic risks of recent fall in broad market or due to insider selling.
Brandon, being the careful one, told me there wasn’t any selling.
So I checked the last quarter report. It has been nothing short of good. Rising revenue, profits and an improvement to a strong cash generating mechanism.
So what could caused this as well? I found this Diamond Industry Faces Rough Weather.
Diamond polishers are worried because, already there has been a drop in supply of roughs to Surat. Between 2005 and 2006, there had been a 13.25% jump in supply of roughs to India. Between 2006-07 and 2007-08 the increase is a paltry 1.18% till November. Although the appreciating rupee against the dollar and competition from China are a concern, developments in South Africa are their biggest worry.
Shaken by these developments, the Indian gems and jewellery industry wants to develop a global trading hub in India, like in Antwerp and Hong Kong.
This could contribute to the fall in price since India is an important country for Sarin tech.
Customers
| Australia Argyle DCLA Belgium |
Muller S. & Sons Nagahori Corporation Omega Diamonds Bvba Overseas Diamonds Nv Pluczenik Diamond Cy Rosy Blue Nv Schachter Namdar Belgium Smolensk Diamonds Nv Sundiamond Bvba Sygma Diamonds Bvba Tache Nv Tiffany & Co. Trau Bros Nv Vijaydimon Bvba India |
Dilipkumar V Lakhi Israel Japan Korea South Africa South America Taiwan Thailand USA |
We will look to see how long this supply shortage will last. I am doing more research on this before making any decision. No ratio analysis is done here since it fits my criteria of good dividend yield, good operating cashflow and ROE.
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Comments
Hi Denish, that seem like a bold statement. May I know how was this reflected to you that the management shows evidence of dishonesty and being unlikeable?
regards,
Drizzt
Top 5 Myths About Valuations
MYTH 1 : An insurance valuation can only be done by a registered valuer
WRONG! An insurance valuation is an assessment how much it would cost to replace a particular piece of jewellery in the current marketplace. The significant determinants of value of diamond jewellery are the 4 C’s of the diamond together with retail market pricing information. If all this information is available, a replacement value can be computed. If the diamond is accompanied by an internationally recognised grading certificate, the 4 C’s are known and accurate. All that remains is to price that diamond in the current marketplace. All that is important to your insurance company is that the valuation is detailed and accurate. This will ensure you of like-for-like replacement.
MYTH 2 : I got a great deal, I was shown a valuation of double the ticket price
WRONG! You should be extremely suspicious of a jeweller who shows you a high valuation as proof that you are getting a great deal. In many circumstances, the jeweller using the valuation to sell you the item is in fact the valuer. If you were buying a house, would you let the seller perform the building inspection for you? A valuation should only be offered AFTER you have completed your purchase. After all, the true insurance replacement value of the piece of jewellery is what you paid for it.
MYTH 3 : A valuation is accurate even if your diamond is not certified
WRONG! A valuation can only be accurate if the characteristics of the diamond have been accurately determined. Although many valuers have vast experience in the industry, the accurate determination of the characteristics of a diamond is a scientific process requiring extremely expensive diagnostic equipment. Only internationally recognised laboratories possess this required equipment. All a valuer can do for an uncertified diamond is make an educated guess of these characteristics. Unfortunately, even slight differences in the valuers grading to an accurate laboratory grading could translate to thousands of dollars in value.
MYTH 4 : A valuer does not have to be independent
WRONG! Some jewellers use valuations as selling tools. If the jeweller and the valuer are not independent, the valuation may be inflated to enable the jeweller to sell the diamond. The easiest way of inflating a valuation is to overstate the grade of the diamond. This can only occur if the diamond is uncertified. The valuer should have no vested interest in the specific value attributed to your jewellery.
MYTH 5 : The higher my valuation, the higher my insurance payout
WRONG! You will pay higher insurance premiums, but, in the event of a loss, your insurance company reserves the right to replace the jewellery with a similar piece. The insurance company can and will source the replacement at a cost much lower than you actually paid, regardless of the valuation. The only situation in which you will be paid out is if you have under-valued the item and the insurance company cannot replace it for your insured value.
It is alack of faith in Sarin Leadership. The president/CEO and his immediate staff are perceived as dishonest and unlikeable. Change at least the top 4 managers and improve the stock. It is that simple.